October 14, 2025

Weekly Fixed-Income Research: UST Yields Fall to Three-Week Low; DXY Softens to <99 on Renewed US-China Tensions

Global Market

·         UST Yields Fall to Three-Week Low; DXY Softens to <99 on Renewed US–China Tensions

·         Emerging markets: FX firms, yields edge higher

·         Global central banks: five central banks cut, five held, and one hiked

Domestic Market

·         IDR Conventional Bond Auction Result (7-Oct): Surging Onshore Demand Lifts First 4Q Bond Auction

·         Onshore banks posted a net buy of > 50% of the total awarded in the last conventional bond auction

·         SRBI auction: issuance rises, rates edge lower

·         Foreign flows: foreign investors return to INDOGBs and equities, ending the seven weeks of outflows

·         Average trading volume in the secondary market moderated to Rp37.4tn (vs. Rp43.8tn prior), with the 5-yr FR104 continuing as the most attractive series

Week ahead (13-17 Oct-2025): Earnings Season Begins amid US Shutdown and Global Data Flow

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