{"id":6016,"date":"2025-10-17T03:43:56","date_gmt":"2025-10-17T03:43:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/himdasun.or.id\/?p=6016"},"modified":"2025-10-17T03:43:57","modified_gmt":"2025-10-17T03:43:57","slug":"jci-rebounds-indogb-rally-persists-and-the-rupiah-softens","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/himdasun.or.id\/en\/2025\/10\/17\/jci-rebounds-indogb-rally-persists-and-the-rupiah-softens\/","title":{"rendered":"JCI Rebounds, INDOGB Rally Persists, and the Rupiah Softens"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>On Thursday (16-Oct), Indonesian assets traded mixed; the JCI rebounded, the INDOGB rallied further, while the rupiah softened slightly. After weakening in the last 3 consecutive days, the Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) rebounded by +0.91% to 8,124.76, erasing the previous day s loss of -0.19% and widening the YTD performance by +14.76%. In contrast, the equity market turnover plunged to Rp19.5tn (vs. Rp29.9tn prior), but it was still well above the YTD avg. of +Rp16.2tn. Moreover, across Asia, equity markets closed mixed; the Japanese Nikkei 225 Index rose +1.27% (YTD: +22.82%) as investors grew increasingly confident that the US Federal Reserve would soon begin cutting interest rates, whereas Hong Kong s Hang Seng Index slipped -0.09% (YTD: +31.93%) as investors stayed cautious amid renewed geopolitical tension between the US and China after US criticism of Beijing s export restrictions on rare earth minerals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On the bond market side, the INDOGB yields extended their downward trend, concentrated on the longer tenors, except the 5-yr FR104, which saw a small uptick of +0.4 bps. Meanwhile, foreign outflows persisted, totaling -Rp2.13tn (vs. -Rp2.16tn prior), based on the CTP PLTE data. According to Bloomberg, the 5-yr FR104 closed at 104.92 (-0.03%), yielding 5.31% (+0.4 bps); the 10-yr FR103 at 105.85 (+0.39%), yielding 65.95% (-5.5 bps); the 15-yr FR106 at 106.95 (+0.90%), yielding 6.39% (-9.6 bps); and the 20-yr FR107 at 1056.59 (+1.24%), yielding 6.53% (-11.4 bps). Offshore, the 5-yr USD global bond yield moved marginally lower to 4.37% (-0.6 bps), while Indonesia s 5-yr CDS edged up to 80.97 bps (+0.04 bps). The rupiah softened slightly to Rp16,573\/USD (-0.05%; YTD: -2.93%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to IDX s OTC trading report, Indonesian government bond trading activity moderated on Thursday (16-Oct), with total volume declining to Rp37.6tn (vs. Rp51.5tn on 15-Oct). Despite the moderation, the figure remained slightly higher than the prior week s daily average of Rp37.4tn and stood well above both the 2025 year-to-date (YTD) daily average of Rp32.8tn and the 2024 daily average of Rp21.7tn. The 5-yr FR0104 series (maturing on 15-Jul-30) continued to dominate market activity, recording Rp6.3tn in trading volume (vs. Rp10.9tn previously). Its price eased slightly to 104.95 (-0.05%), bringing the yield marginally higher to 5.30% (+1.11 bps). This was followed by the 10-yr FR0103 series (maturing on 15-Jul-35), which booked Rp2.5tn in trading volume. Its price rose to 105.90 (+0.92%), compressing the yield to 5.94% (-12.87 bps).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Regarding flows, as of 15-Oct, foreign ownership of government bonds remained stable at Rp900.6tn (14.06% of outstanding). Year-to-date, Bank Indonesia is still the largest net buyer (+Rp141.7tn), followed by onshore banks (+Rp80.6tn), insurance &amp; pension funds (+Rp74.6tn), foreign investors (+Rp23.9tn), mutual funds (+Rp23.4tn), and others (+Rp23.1tn). Meanwhile, only retail investors reported a net sell (-Rp0.2tn).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Domestic Corp Bond Market<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On the corporate side, bond trading activity remained stable on Thursday (16-Oct), with total volume relatively unchanged at Rp2.2tn (vs. Rp2.2tn on 15-Oct). The figure stayed below both the prior week s daily average of Rp3.7tn and the 2025 YTD average of Rp3.9tn, while still comfortably above the 2024 daily average of Rp2.05tn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The WISL03B series (maturing on 5-Jul-27), rated idA, led the segment with Rp271bn in trading volume. The bond s price declined to 103.92 (-2.70%), driving the yield sharply higher to 6.32% (+169.97 bps). This was followed by the BOLD03B series (maturing on 10-Oct-28), rated idA+, which recorded Rp183bn in trading volume. Its price inched up to 100.70 (+0.51%), pushing the yield lower to 7.73% (-19.30 bps).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Fitch Ratings Indonesia has affirmed PT Asuransi Wahana Tata&#8217;s (ASWATA) National Insurer Financial Strength (IFS) Rating at &#8216;AA(idn)&#8217;. The Outlook is Stable. According to Fitch, the affirmation reflects ASWATA&#8217;s &#8216;Moderate&#8217; company profile, improved reinsurance risk and continued profitability. It also considers the insurer&#8217;s satisfactory capitalisation and conservative investment mix.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On Thursday (16-Oct), Indonesian assets traded mixed; the JCI rebounded, the INDOGB rallied further, while the rupiah softened slightly. After [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6016","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-research"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/himdasun.or.id\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6016","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/himdasun.or.id\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/himdasun.or.id\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/himdasun.or.id\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/15"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/himdasun.or.id\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6016"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/himdasun.or.id\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6016\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6017,"href":"https:\/\/himdasun.or.id\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6016\/revisions\/6017"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/himdasun.or.id\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6016"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/himdasun.or.id\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6016"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/himdasun.or.id\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6016"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}