{"id":5394,"date":"2025-06-16T02:51:32","date_gmt":"2025-06-16T02:51:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/himdasun.or.id\/?p=5394"},"modified":"2025-06-16T02:51:33","modified_gmt":"2025-06-16T02:51:33","slug":"indogb-yield-continues-lowering-and-the-rupiah-strengthens-while-the-jci-falls-further","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/himdasun.or.id\/en\/2025\/06\/16\/indogb-yield-continues-lowering-and-the-rupiah-strengthens-while-the-jci-falls-further\/","title":{"rendered":"INDOGB Yield Continues Lowering and the Rupiah Strengthens, While the JCI Falls Further"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The rupiah asset class was mixed on Thursday (12-Jun); the JCI continued to fall, while INDOGB and the rupiah currency went up further. Indonesia s equity market index (the JCI index) still underperformed, posting losses of -0.25% and hitting 7,204.37 (vs. -0.11% prior), thus widening the year-to-date performance to -2.98%. Foreign investors recorded a net outflow of -Rp282.4bn (vs. +Rp79.31bn prior; YTD: -Rp49.06tn). Furthermore, the total trading value dropped to Rp13.56tn (vs. Rp18.35tn prior) but was slightly above the YTD average of Rp13tn. Regionally, Asian equity markets closed mixed; the Nikkei 225 Index fell by -0.65% to 38,173.09 (vs. +0.55% prior; YTD: -2.77%), and Hang Seng index plummeted by -1.36% to 24,035.38 (vs. +0.84% prior; YTD: 20.29%), triggered by President Trump s announcement that he would set unilateral tariff rates within 2 weeks, reigniting trade tensions. At the same time, heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East weighed on market sentiment. Additional downward momentum came from a softer-than-expected US CPI for May, which raised market expectations for a potential Federal Reserve rate cut as soon as September.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The INDOGB rally continued, while foreign investors still recorded inflows to the Indonesian bond market, reaching +Rp0.67tn (vs. +Rp3.87tn on the previous day), based on the CTP PLTE on Thursday. According to Bloomberg, the 5-yr FR104 benchmark series was trading at 100.93 (+0.14%) or yielded 6.28% (-3.40 bps), the 10-yr FR103 at 100.56 (+0.45%) or yielded 6.67% (-6.20 bps), the 15-yr FR106 at 101.78 (+0.22%) or yielded 6.93% (-2.30 bps), and the 20-yr FR107 at 101.40 (+0.17%) or yielded 6.99% (-1.60 bps). Regarding the 10-yr RoI USD global bond that will mature in Mar-2031, its price went up to 86.03 (+0.35%), and its yield fell to 4.65% (-6.40 bps), while the 5-yr CDS increased to 74.05 (+1.53 bps). Meanwhile, the rupiah continued to strengthen, appreciating against the USD by +0.15% to Rp16,235\/USD (vs. +0.10% prior; YTD: -0.77%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to IDX s OTC trading report, Indonesian rupiah government bond trading activity remained subdued on Thursday (12-Jun), with volume slightly easing to Rp32.0tn (vs. Rp33.7tn on 11-Jun). Although the figure stayed well below the prior week s average daily trading volume of Rp40.1tn, it remained comfortably above both the 2025 year-to-date (YTD) daily average of Rp29.2tn and the 2024 daily average of Rp21.7tn. The 10-yr FR0103 series (maturing on 15-Jul-35) maintained its position as the most actively traded government bond, despite a slight dip in volume to Rp4.7tn (vs. Rp5.0tn on the previous day). Its price inched up to 100.64 (+0.41%), driving the yield lower to 6.66% (-5.62 bps). Close behind, the 5-yr FR0104 series (maturing on 15-Jul-30) posted a trading volume of Rp2.5tn (vs. Rp4.4tn previously). The bond s price climbed to 99.85 (+0.86%), pushing the yield down to 6.18% (-32.37 bps).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The latest DMO bond flow data is as of 11-Jun (reflecting trading on 9-Jun), wherein foreign ownership in government bonds continued to increase to Rp930tn or 14.60% of the total outstanding. Year-to-date, Bank Indonesia has been the biggest net buyer of government bonds (amounting to +Rp86.9tn), followed by onshore banks (+Rp70tn), insurance and pension funds (+Rp56.4tn), foreign investors (+Rp53.3tn), other investors (+Rp30.5tn), retail investors (+Rp26tn), and mutual funds (+Rp7.8tn).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Domestic Corp Bond Market<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On the corporate side, trading activity picked up on Thursday (12-Jun), with volume rising to Rp3.3tn (vs. Rp2.8tn on 11-Jun). Despite the uptick, the figure remained slightly below both the prior week s average daily volume of Rp3.6tn and the 2025 YTD daily average of Rp3.6tn, though still above the 2024 daily average of Rp2.05tn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The SMINKP04BCN4 series (maturing on 12-Jun-28), rated idA+(sy), debuted in the secondary market and led the corporate bond segment with a trading volume of Rp356bn. It was traded at 99.85, yielding 10.06%. Following this, the INKP05BCN4 series (maturing on 12-Jun-28), rated idA+, also made its first appearance in the secondary market, recording a trading volume of Rp226bn. The bond traded at 99.96, reflecting a yield of 10.02%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Pefindo affirmed idA rating to PT Lontar Papyrus Pulp &amp; Paper Industry (LPPI) with stable outlook. Pefindo has also affirmed idA rating to LPPI s Shelf-Registered Bond I Year 2021, Shelf-Registered Bond II Year 2023, and Shelf-Registered Bond III Year 2024 and idA(sy) rating for LPPI s Shelf Registered Sukuk Mudharabah I Year 2024. The corporate rating reflects LPPI s strong business position, vertically well-integrated operations, and strong operating management. However, it is constrained by risks related to high working capital needs as well as exposure to price volatility of products and raw materials.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The rupiah asset class was mixed on Thursday (12-Jun); the JCI continued to fall, while INDOGB and the rupiah currency [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5394","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-research"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/himdasun.or.id\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5394","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/himdasun.or.id\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/himdasun.or.id\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/himdasun.or.id\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/15"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/himdasun.or.id\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5394"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/himdasun.or.id\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5394\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5395,"href":"https:\/\/himdasun.or.id\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5394\/revisions\/5395"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/himdasun.or.id\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5394"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/himdasun.or.id\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5394"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/himdasun.or.id\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5394"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}