{"id":5258,"date":"2025-04-28T02:27:46","date_gmt":"2025-04-28T02:27:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/himdasun.or.id\/?p=5258"},"modified":"2025-04-28T02:27:48","modified_gmt":"2025-04-28T02:27:48","slug":"the-rupiah-asset-class-on-the-rise","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/himdasun.or.id\/en\/2025\/04\/28\/the-rupiah-asset-class-on-the-rise\/","title":{"rendered":"The Rupiah Asset Class on the Rise"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Closing the fourth week of April, all of the rupiah asset class goes up on Friday (25-Apr). The JCI index recovered by +0.99% to 6,678.92 (vs. -0.32% on the previous day or -4.68% YTD), while the total trading value in the secondary market declined to Rp10.1tn (vs. Rp13.7tn on the previous day or Rp12.29tn average trading value per day YTD), and foreign investors posted a net buy of +Rp173.2bn (vs. a net sell of -Rp514.6bn on the previous day or -Rp50.92tn YTD). Meanwhile, most Asian equity markets closed higher; the Nikkei 225 index rose further by +1.90% to 35,705.74 (vs. +0.49% on the previous day or -9.56% YTD), while the Hang Seng index gained by +0.32% to 21,980.74 (vs. -0.74% on the previous day or +11.14% YTD) after PBoC Governor Pan Gongsheng reaffirmed the central bank&#8217;s commitment to an &#8220;appropriately loose&#8221; monetary policy to support China&#8217;s economy. Reports that Beijing may exempt some US goods from its 125% tariffs also lifted the mood as China weighs the economic toll of the trade war.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Meanwhile, rupiah government bonds experienced a day of mixed performance. As reported, INDOGB was supported by gains from the 5-yr and 10-yr tenors, while the 10-yr and 15-yr tenors were relatively stable. After reporting a net outflow of -Rp1.8tn on the previous day, foreign investors went back to rupiah government bonds and reported a net buy of +Rp0.2tn, which was contributed by benchmark series, totaling Rp417.88bn; otherwise, non-benchmark series reported a net sell of -Rp220.46bn. According to Bloomberg, the 5-yr FR104 benchmark series was trading at 99.63 (+0.35%) or yielded 6.58% (-8.00 bps), the 10-yr FR103 at 98.84 (+0.17%) or yielded 6.91% (-2.30 bps), the 15-yr FR106 at 100.76 (-0.01%) or yielded 7.04% (+0.10 bps), and the 20-yr FR107 at 101.15 (-0.01%) or yielded 7.02% (+0.10 bps). Regarding the 10-yr RoI USD global bond that will mature in Mar-2031, its price went up to 84.67 (+0.45%), or it yielded 4.89% (-7.90 bps), and the 5-yr CDS descended to 96.18 (-4.06 bps). Meanwhile, the rupiah appreciated against the USD, strengthening slightly by +0.06% to Rp16,860\/USD (vs. depreciating by -0.10% on the previous day or depreciating by -4.58% YTD).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to IDX s OTC trading report, Indonesian rupiah government bond trading volume continued to slow on Friday (25-Apr), declining to Rp18.7tn (vs. Rp22.8tn on 24-Apr). The figure fell short of the current week s average daily trading volume of Rp26.1tn, as well as the 2025 year-to-date (YTD) daily average of Rp28.1tn and the 2024 daily average of Rp21.7tn. The 5-yr FR0104 series (maturing on 15-Jul-30) emerged as the most actively traded bond, recording a trading volume of Rp3.7tn (vs. Rp3.5tn on the previous day). Its price edged higher to 99.66 (+0.31%), sending the yield lower to 6.57% (-7.13 bps). Following closely, the 10-yr FR0103 series (maturing on 15-Jul-35) saw its volume ease to Rp3.2tn (vs. Rp6.7tn on the previous day). The bond s price increased to 99.90 (+1.27%), compressing its yield to 6.76% (-17.27 bps).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The latest DMO bond flow data is as of 24-Apr (reflecting transactions on 22-Apr), wherein foreign ownership in government bonds increased further to Rp895.2tn or 14.28% of the total outstanding. Year-to-date, Bank Indonesia has been the biggest net buyer of government bonds (amounting to +Rp66.3tn), followed by onshore banks (+Rp48.9tn), insurance and pension funds (+Rp42.7tn), retail investors (+Rp25.13tn), other investors (+Rp25.09tn), foreign investors (+Rp18.5tn), and mutual funds (+Rp4.1tn).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Over the week, the JCI flew up by +3.70% (vs. +2.81% in the previous week), the 10-yr INDOGB bond yield slipped by -2.7 bps (vs. -12.3 bps in the previous week), the USD-denominated 10-yr INDOGB bond yield fell by -16.4 bps (vs. -20.1 bps in the previous week), and the rupiah against the USD appreciated slightly by +0.01% (vs. depreciated by -0.28% in the previous week). Foreign investors in the equity market posted a net sell of -Rp0.93tn (vs. net sell of -Rp13.68tn in the previous week), while in the bond market, they posted a strong net buy of +Rp11.52tn (vs. net buy +Rp3.25tn in the previous week).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Over the week, the average daily trading volume of government bonds rose sharply to Rp26.1tn (vs. Rp22.5tn in the prior week). The 10-yr FR0103 series continued to dominate trading activity, with its total weekly volume surging to Rp38.2tn (vs. Rp15.27tn in the previous week).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Domestic Corp Bond Market<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On the corporate side, trading activity picked up on Friday (25-Apr), with volume rising notably to Rp5.4tn (vs. Rp3.8tn on 24-Apr). The figure exceeded the current week s average daily volume of Rp4.9tn and remained above both the 2025 YTD daily average of Rp3.54tn and the 2024 daily average of Rp2.05tn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The FIFA06ACN5 series (maturing on 25-Apr-26), rated idAAA, led the corporate bond market, posting a trading volume of Rp824bn. Its price edged slightly higher to 99.93 (+0.07%), nudging the yield down to 11.28% (-6.97 bps). Trailing behind, the WISL03B series (maturing on 5-Jul-27), rated idA, booked a volume of Rp449bn. The bond s price slipped to 101.24 (-1.15%), driving a sharp yield rise to 8.13% (+58.27 bps).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Over the week, the average daily trading volume of corporate bonds softened to Rp4.9tn (vs. Rp5.5tn in the previous week). The 4.0-yr SMMA03CN1 series (maturing on 5-Apr-29), rated irAA, emerged as the most actively traded corporate bond, accumulating a total weekly volume of Rp1.3tn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Fitch Ratings Indonesia has affirmed PT Pelayaran Nasional Indonesia (Persero)&#8217;s (PELNI) National Long-Term Rating at &#8216;AAA(idn)&#8217; and National Short-Term Rating at &#8216;F1+(idn)&#8217;. The Outlook is Stable. Fitch assesses PELNI&#8217;s Standalone Credit Profile (SCP) as &#8216;aa-(idn)&#8217;, which reflects the Company s risk and financial profile, considering its operating environment, sector specific risks in its industry, and a significant reliance on government support. Fitch expects PELNI to maintain a low leverage ratio and a favourable debt-service ratio. This is counterbalanced by the company&#8217;s inability to adjust prices for public service obligations (PSO) and its significant capex programme in the short to medium term.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Fitch Ratings has affirmed PT Medco Energi Internasional Tbk&#8217;s Long-Term Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at &#8216;BB-&#8216;. The Outlook is Stable. Fitch has also affirmed the ratings on the senior unsecured US dollar notes guaranteed by Medco at &#8216;BB-&#8216;. According to Fitch, Medco&#8217;s credit profile is characterised by an average production scale relative to &#8216;BB&#8217; category upstream oil and gas (O&amp;G) producers, a low-cost position and favorable earnings mix through fixed-price contracts. Meanwhile, the Stable Outlook is supported by Medco&#8217;s ability to generate free cash flow and maintain adequate liquidity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Fitch Ratings has affirmed PT Pertamina (Persero)&#8217;s Long-Term Foreign-Currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at &#8216;BBB&#8217; with a Stable Outlook. Fitch has also affirmed the senior unsecured rating, and the ratings on its USD20 billion global medium-term note programme and existing senior unsecured notes at &#8216;BBB &#8216;. According to Fitch, Pertamina&#8217;s IDR is equalised with that of Indonesia (BBB\/Stable) as we look through the direct owner, Indonesia&#8217;s new sovereign wealth fund, Danantara. Moreover, Fitch assesses Pertamina&#8217;s Standalone Credit Profile (SCP) at &#8216;bbb-&#8216;, reflecting its large scale, vertically integrated operations and modest leverage profile.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Pefindo has affimed idAAA rating with stable outlook for Peurm Jasa Tirta I (PJTT) . According to Pefindo, the rating is mainly driven by PJTT s almost certain likelihood of support from the Government due to its critical status in managing water resources in several river areas. Meanwhile, the Company s standalone credit profile is supported by its very strong economic service area and very conservative financial profile. However, the rating is constrained by PJTT s exposure to hydrological risk and inflexibility to adjust tariff.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Mandiri Sekuritas Research Team<\/strong><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Closing the fourth week of April, all of the rupiah asset class goes up on Friday (25-Apr). The JCI index [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5258","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-research"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/himdasun.or.id\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5258","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/himdasun.or.id\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/himdasun.or.id\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/himdasun.or.id\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/15"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/himdasun.or.id\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5258"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/himdasun.or.id\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5258\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5259,"href":"https:\/\/himdasun.or.id\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5258\/revisions\/5259"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/himdasun.or.id\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5258"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/himdasun.or.id\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5258"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/himdasun.or.id\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5258"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}